Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.421993 0.466378 0.514055 0.569175 0.631267 0.699188 0.779296
2025-06-15 0.352297 0.414061 0.485307 0.573999 0.682042 0.810136 0.974608
2025-06-22 0.306238 0.374606 0.457242 0.565312 0.704141 0.878142 1.115346
2025-06-29 0.274182 0.346248 0.436674 0.559761 0.724934 0.941769 1.252724
2025-07-06 0.242256 0.313884 0.406528 0.536831 0.718110 0.965487 1.335792
2025-07-13 0.226923 0.301237 0.400160 0.543731 0.750558 1.043675 1.501448
2025-07-20 0.213679 0.289901 0.394030 0.549527 0.780814 1.120273 1.671880
2025-07-27 0.202186 0.279815 0.388418 0.554923 0.810064 1.197045 1.850007
2025-08-03 0.191311 0.269609 0.381557 0.557406 0.834416 1.267695 2.025285
2025-08-10 0.182463 0.261579 0.377055 0.562690 0.862983 1.346878 2.222938
2025-08-17 0.170066 0.247360 0.362164 0.550397 0.861907 1.376965 2.338177
2025-08-24 0.163655 0.241711 0.359819 0.557595 0.893008 1.463253 2.563302
2025-08-31 0.154847 0.231941 0.350606 0.553230 0.904788 1.518307 2.739523
2025-09-07 0.148633 0.225843 0.346775 0.557443 0.931658 1.602679 2.982953
2025-09-14 0.140376 0.215942 0.336094 0.549072 0.935236 1.644398 3.146205
2025-09-21 0.133415 0.207707 0.327578 0.543704 0.943575 1.695453 3.334648
2025-09-28 0.123855 0.194667 0.310263 0.521532 0.918807 1.680173 3.379701
2025-10-05 0.120257 0.191333 0.309119 0.528204 0.948948 1.775613 3.679127
2025-10-12 0.116712 0.187872 0.307503 0.533809 0.977361 1.870197 3.989681
2025-10-19 0.113331 0.184488 0.305784 0.539026 1.005325 1.966482 4.317865
2025-10-26 0.109717 0.180495 0.302727 0.541426 1.027700 2.052980 4.634917
2025-11-02 0.106736 0.177445 0.301161 0.546536 1.055992 2.155131 5.006306
2025-11-09 0.101462 0.170053 0.291283 0.534650 1.047492 2.174102 5.165867